ARBITRAGE TERMINAL

AI-DRIVEN PREDICTION MARKET INTELLIGENCE

SYSTEM STATUS
OPERATIONAL

LIVE GLITCH MONITOR

REAL-TIME
Polymarket
12:34:21
Fed Rate Decision Q1
SPREAD:4.20%
PROB:68%
high PRIORITYMONITORING
Manifold
12:33:45
Tech IPO Success
SPREAD:2.80%
PROB:45%
medium PRIORITYMONITORING
PredictIt
12:33:12
Q4 GDP Growth >2%
SPREAD:3.50%
PROB:72%
high PRIORITYMONITORING
Polymarket
12:32:58
BTC $100K EOY
SPREAD:1.90%
PROB:38%
low PRIORITYMONITORING
Manifold
12:31:42
AI Regulation Pass
SPREAD:3.10%
PROB:55%
medium PRIORITYMONITORING

TRADE EXECUTION STATUS

Fed Rate Hike Probability

execute|EXP RETURN: 12.5%
CONFIDENCE
89%
HUNTER
85%
SKEPTIC
15%

Q4 Earnings Beat

hold|EXP RETURN: 4.2%
CONFIDENCE
52%
HUNTER
45%
SKEPTIC
55%

Crypto Regulation Vote

execute|EXP RETURN: 8.9%
CONFIDENCE
76%
HUNTER
72%
SKEPTIC
28%

PERFORMANCE METRICS

ROI
28.7%
+3.2% MTD
WIN RATE
72.3%
148/205
P/L 24H
$8,450
+12.4%
VELOCITY
3.2x
Return/Day
PROFIT/LOSS (24H)
ROI TREND (6M)

BANKROLL

TOTAL CAPITAL
$62,500
+$8,450 (24h)
DEPLOYED
$47,200
75.5% utilized
AVAILABLE
$15,300
24.5% liquid
ASSET EXPOSURE BY PLATFORM
Polymarket$42,500
68% of totalCap: $50K
$7.5K remainingSAFE
Manifold$18,200
29% of totalCap: $25K
$6.8K remainingSAFE
PredictIt$1,800
3% of totalCap: $5K
$3.2K remainingSAFE
ALLOCATION STATUS
All platforms within safe exposure limits. Auto-rebalancing enabled.

RISK HEATMAP

DAILY RISK BUDGET62% REMAINING
$12,400 used$20,000 limit
CIRCADIAN RISK STATUS
US Morning
LIQUIDITY:high
25%
LOW
US Afternoon
LIQUIDITY:high
18%
LOW
EU Morning
LIQUIDITY:medium
42%
MEDIUM
EU Afternoon
LIQUIDITY:medium
38%
MEDIUM
Asia Morning
LIQUIDITY:low
65%
HIGH
Asia Afternoon
LIQUIDITY:low
58%
HIGH
ACTIVE WARNING
Asia session liquidity depth below threshold. Auto-pause enabled for high-risk trades.

APEX INTELLIGENCE LOG

RECENT ACTIVITY
postmortem
11:42:15

Trade #A847 - Partial Fill Analysis

Polymarket liquidity dried up mid-execution. KB updated with dynamic position sizing rules for low-depth markets.

2026-02-23
kb update
09:18:33

Logic Patch v2.4.8 - Circadian Risk Weighting

Enhanced Asia session risk multiplier from 1.5x to 1.8x based on historical slippage data.

2026-02-23
postmortem
06:52:41

Trade #A831 - Missed Opportunity

Hunter agent flagged 5.2% spread but Skeptic veto due to event uncertainty. Post-analysis: opportunity was valid.

2026-02-23
system
22:14:09

API Rate Limit Hit - PredictIt

Temporary throttle engaged. Fallback to 30s polling implemented. No trades missed during incident.

2026-02-22
kb update
18:36:22

Consensus Threshold Adjustment

Lowered execution threshold from 75% to 70% Hunter consensus for spreads >4%.

2026-02-22
127
POSTMORTEMS (30D)
43
KB UPDATES (30D)
94.2%
LEARNING EFFICIENCY